Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.110157 0.123029 0.136205 0.150661 0.166036 0.181866 0.199358
2024-10-06 0.095122 0.113051 0.132075 0.153634 0.177263 0.202254 0.230566
2024-10-13 0.082379 0.103629 0.126914 0.154049 0.184538 0.217492 0.255563
2024-10-20 0.071805 0.095361 0.121962 0.153752 0.190259 0.230456 0.277657
2024-10-27 0.062458 0.087520 0.116662 0.152322 0.194097 0.240863 0.296567
2024-11-03 0.056081 0.082562 0.114178 0.153677 0.200744 0.254172 0.318562
2024-11-10 0.051774 0.079710 0.113855 0.157288 0.209798 0.270099 0.343479
2024-11-17 0.046254 0.074809 0.110612 0.157027 0.213988 0.280177 0.361509
2024-11-24 0.043456 0.073203 0.111277 0.161387 0.223604 0.296555 0.386862
2024-12-01 0.039596 0.069827 0.109420 0.162385 0.228969 0.307790 0.406116
2024-12-08 0.035535 0.065829 0.106475 0.161774 0.232174 0.316310 0.422067
2024-12-15 0.032417 0.062911 0.104755 0.162559 0.236978 0.326666 0.440154
2024-12-22 0.028843 0.059099 0.101699 0.161561 0.239590 0.334490 0.455435
2024-12-29 0.026966 0.057697 0.101847 0.164704 0.247405 0.348673 0.478417
2025-01-05 0.024434 0.055046 0.100078 0.165160 0.251694 0.358465 0.496066
2025-01-12 0.021926 0.052200 0.097855 0.164862 0.254909 0.366864 0.511988
2025-01-19 0.019341 0.048971 0.094880 0.163375 0.256454 0.373095 0.525200
2025-01-26 0.017733 0.047269 0.094061 0.164794 0.261765 0.384033 0.544216
2025-02-02 0.016819 0.046725 0.094939 0.168568 0.270192 0.398928 0.568176
2025-02-09 0.015064 0.044451 0.093035 0.168296 0.273152 0.406838 0.583442
2025-02-16 0.014482 0.044356 0.094502 0.172849 0.282605 0.423068 0.609141
2025-02-23 0.013227 0.042811 0.093586 0.173891 0.287274 0.433151 0.627155
2025-03-02 0.011758 0.040663 0.091583 0.173254 0.289594 0.440172 0.641305